Polls and Predictions

Down East political blogger Mike Tipping has a post about polling in the gubernatorial primaries and requests for predictions for the June 8 results here.

For what it's worth, here are my predictions:

Democratic gubernatorial primary:
Steven Rowe, 44%
Rosa Scarcelli, 27%
Libby Mitchell, 19%
Pat McGowan, 10%

Republican gubernatorial primary:
Steve Abbott, 22%
Les Otten, 19%
Paul LePage, 17%
Peter Mills, 14%
Matt Jacobson, 12%
Bruce Poliquin, 9%
Bill Beardsley, 7%

Question 1:
Yes, 45%
No, 55%

Question 2:
Yes, 63%
No, 37%

Question 3:
Yes, 70%
No, 30%

Question 4:
Yes, 68%
No, 32%

Question 5:
Yes, 61%
No, 39%

- John C.L. Morgan

Related: Are Too Many Candidates a Bad Thing? (January 12, 2010)